Calm AFTER the Storm

Calm Pic

In mid February we wrote about the “storm” we were in as we watched the stock market plummet 10% in short order. We mentioned having the courage to endure markets like this because it’s not easy to watch emotional swings affect our savings so dramatically. Usually it takes a fair amount of time to bounce back from situations like these, however, this storm passed relatively quickly and Josh Peters, CFA from Morningstar has made recommendations that held up well.

In the first 32 days of the year (Feb. 11) the S&P was down 10% while the growing-dividend equities in Peters portfolio were down less than half that. In the subsequent 42 days of the year, the stock market has climbed back 10% and Peters’ equities have risen close to the same amount (9% according to his newsletter). This leaves anyone invested in these stocks up nicely since the beginning of the year while the S&P struggles to stay positive. (Returns will vary depending on risk and individual portfolios.)

Even though we’re thankful for the great year-to-date performance of the conservative growing-dividend philosophy, we still remain concerned about the next storm and in an effort to prepare, we’re currently rebalancing all of our accounts. This is generating trades, which will show up as notices in our client’s mailbox. These are not major changes, but are more like tweaks to ensure portfolios are within guidelines after some investments have underperformed and some have outperformed since the beginning of the year.

A few of the stocks that have outperformed are Fastenal FAST, an industrial construction supplier, and Genuine Parts GPC, an automotive parts supplier. These stocks have taken off since late January, returning 33% and 23% respectively, not including dividends. These stocks are not huge dividend payers, with yields of 2.63% and 2.41%, but we’re happy to have low yields in addition to nice growth. Once again, we credit Peters for having the foresight to recommend these stocks for us and look forward to his next recommendation.

As we work through these rebalances we’ll be calling our clients to give updates on their specific situation. We look forward to catching up on what’s going on in their lives and discussing the good news that we survived the storm!

Happy tax season,

Tim Porter, CFP®

Our Core Values

Us
Them
2Bridges
Fiduciary Standard – As fiduciaries our legal (and moral) responsibility is to choose investments in the client’s best interest over the benefit to the advisor.

Independent – As a fee-based firm our investment decisions are independent of industry perks resulting in conflict-free advice.

Fee Transparency – In our first consultation we explain how we are compensated through fees, not commissions, how that contrasts with other industry compensation models and how those models affect clients.

Relational – We value lasting relationships with clients and retain them by staying in touch, returning phone calls and explaining investments at a level that matches client interest.

Suitability Standard – This standard is a step below the Fiduciary standard and only requires that investments recommended are suitable for the client but are not necessarily in their best interest.

Dependent – Compensation may determine behavior. When advisors’ compensation is dependent on commission-generation, advice may be subject to a conflict of interest

Hidden Fees – Some investments have multiple layers of fees buried in lengthy documents that can create complications in determining the overall fee.

Sales Mindset – Building trust is impossible if the sole reason for client contact is making additional sales.

Will the split affect Xerox’s pension?

While we’re big fans of Xerox and the phenomenal Phaser 8560DN, a wax-based xerox portlandink printer we’ve used for years in our office, this may be the least of their accomplishments. The contributions this 110 year old company has made to technology is quite impressive, including the computer mouse and ethernet. Now with the activist shareholder Carl Icahn in the mix the split of the company appears inevitable. Icahn will control three seats on the board of the services company, and we’re left to help our retiring Xerox clients answer the question, “Will the split affect my pension?”
Continue reading “Will the split affect Xerox’s pension?”

Surving the Storm – 3 lessons from USCG

Surviving the storm

 

3 lessons learned from the USCG to help get through the next market drop…

Some months in the stock market feel like the unexpected Nor’easter that pounded the New England coastline the night of February 18, 1952. January of this year began as the worst start to any year for the stock market of all time, down -10% in less than two weeks. With little news to validate this irrational instability, the stock market headed back up to end the month, but is now Continue reading “Surving the Storm – 3 lessons from USCG”

PCC / Berkshire Hathaway Merger – Part 2

February 2, 2016

How could I afford Berkshire Hathaway stock?!

The cash merger is now done! PCC is officially a Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary and $235 per share was the price paid for the company. That cash is now sitting in your account (Fidelity if you’re part of the employee stock option purchase plan ESPP) and ready for direction. A question I just got this morning was… “How could I afford to purchase Berkshire stock that’s trading at approx. $194,000 per share?!”

Other than Continue reading “PCC / Berkshire Hathaway Merger – Part 2”

Emotional Response

Jan 22, 2016

Emotional Response

The plunge in U.S. stock markets is an “emotional response” obscuring expansion in both the American economy and corporate profits, said Abby Joseph Cohen, president of Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s Global Markets Institute. 

The fair value for Standard & Poor’s 500 Index is 2,100, Ms. Cohen said. The S&P last closed above that level on December 1 and has fallen 11% since, after turbulence in China’s stocks and currency spurred a global market rout. “What is happening is really very much an emotional response,” Ms. Cohen told Elliot Gotkine on Bloomberg Television. “We need to put things into perspective. Stocks are probably… Continue reading “Emotional Response”

Chinese Volatility

January 13th, 2016

Chinese Volatility

A “clown show is how one analyst described China’s stock markets recently:  The world’s second largest economy is home to the developed world’s most immature stock markets.  Here’s a few reasons China’s stock markets are down over -12% this year so far and why our stock markets are suffering in sympathy, S&P 500 down almost -6% at the end of the first Continue reading “Chinese Volatility”

Better than Buffet?

December 21, 2015

 

2015 Recap: Better Than Buffet?

As a persistently turbulent, frequently disappointing, but by no means disastrous 2015 comes to a close, we’d like to recap some of the topics we’ve been addressing this year: